| Is 2002 a great Oregon Pinot noir vintage, or just a great press release?
All years are not created equal. We innately look for differences
to intrigue the intellectually curious, to celebrate a product that
is much like art in its ability to reflect diversity and stimulate
creativity, to create a high-C against the choral sameness of passing
years.
Wine regions worldwide are known to
pronounce greatness at the drop of a hat, either because of
impressionable winemakers caught
up in the excitement of a new harvest, or because of over zealous
marketers staring at warehouses of new wines—and sometimes
because it is a great year. The Bordelais made vintage deification
an art form years ago and much of the wine world has followed in
their steps, aided by publications that need to make new judgments
in order to sell copies. Sometimes they’re right and sometimes
they’re just blowing smoke!
The assessment of the 2002 vintage of
Oregon Pinot noirs doesn’t
seem to be overly generalized or overly generous. No caveat emptor
needed here, as this is likely the best overall vintage since 1998.
 Our first releases from this vintage are the
blended 3 Vineyard and single vineyard Corral
Creek Vineyard bottlings.
We are very
proud of both wines, as well as the rest of the family waiting
in the wings. They all have great balance, concentration, fruit
range
and complexity.
An almost perfect growing and ripening season
gave size without losing elegance, gave richness without losing
great
acid structure. White wines from 2002 may be the best ever, and
the weight seen there is continued in Pinot noir. The new releases
show robust, friendly fruit, mouthfuls of it. But they’re
just babies and will refine themselves as they mature. These wines
will age as well as any vintage we’ve seen. Classic. Mother
Nature in basic black and pearls. Mother Nature has been good to us. Although 2002 is virtually perfect,
we have seen six vintages with good ripening and without the infamous
harvest rains, years when either warm summer weather has pushed
ripening earlier or summer has extended into Indian Summer territory.
I wouldn’t suggest there is possibly (shh!) global climate
change at work—we wouldn’t think of disagreeing with
our government lest it be seen as a breach of homeland security
or as threatening to industries and economies invested in generating
greenhouse emissions, like the automotive and oil industries. We,
the technologically most advanced country led by scientific wizards,
wouldn’t ignore irrefutable data from multiple sources, refuse
to sign Kyoto accords, be so arrogant as to think concerns and rules
don’t apply to us just because we’re the biggest user
and polluter, or just because of politics and the inconvenience
it might cause our businesses—we wouldn’t, would we?

Corral Creek Vineyard, Harvest 2002
Global Climate Change
It isn’t a question of “if,” it’s a question
of “how badly” our climate tomorrow will be affected
by our profligacy today. Higher temperatures from increased greenhouse
gases (like CO2) and aerosol particulates from 2-10º F, depending
on model and assumptions you take—are a given, and we’re
already seeing it. Besides fiery summers and more so warm winters,
with daily temperature swings (day to night) decreasing, this upset
to the earth’s equilibrium brings a threat of greater extremes
like flooding and drought, as different regions respond non-uniformly
to resultant increased precipitation.
I don’t want this to be a diatribe on climate change, although
I wouldn’t rule it out in a later newsletter, but it needs
to be mentioned as we view vintages of the last decade. If they
are a taste of what can be expected, with half rainfall and 2003’s
almost intolerable heat reflecting only a 1-2º F increase over
the prior two years’ average temperatures, I will be looking
for vineyard land on the flanks of Mt Hood or in a Canadian province.
Historical
Phenological Data
Growing parameters for the last four vintages at Ridgecrest Vineyards,
plus what is typical. Gives a sense of variability, even between very good
vintages--all vintages, even great ones, are not alike. |
How We
Measure Seasonal Differences
Despite the stylistic influences
winemakers have over vintage, Mother Nature crafts the most significant
changes. Annually, the basic questions are “will
we have enough heat and will the rains hold off until after harvest?” All
other parameters we monitor just flesh out our view of heat and rain. Parameters
such as timings of bud break, flowering, veraison (color change/seed hardening),
and harvest record the rhythms of a vintage. Simple measurements of heat accumulation
in degree-days and total inches of rainfall during the growing and ripening
seasons generalize vintages. Accumulated
heat, in Degree Days over 50º F, show the warming trend. In the graph
increased heat is apparent in years like 2003, which had the heat of a
Region II growing
site at 2500 degree-days or approximately 400 degree-days warmer than average,
based on the old UC Davis grading system (the same Region II into which Napa,
Santa Barbara and Auckland were placed).
Vintage 2002 is warmer than average
by approximately 150 units also. However, the length of the
ripening season is what made 2002
exquisite, with September 15-October 15 max temperatures averaging
71º F and having only a single day each above the 80s or below
the 60s.

Average Highs and Lows over the last Thirty
Years, with 2002
Highs superimposed showing a cooler Spring and
warmer late ripening season
Rain in this month was a mere 0.76 inches. The next two weeks even
permitted late season ripening, averaging 61º F, with no rain.
This luxury is seen if you view harvest dates in 2002 being spread
over an entire month, with a long 114 days from bloom to harvest.
The 2004 vintage is beginning where 2003 left off, with higher accumulation
than we've seen through early May (see black shaded curve beginning).

Heat Accumulation Curves for Recent Vintages--Ripening depends on
adequate warmth during the growing season. However, how much heat
and when it comes is vital to the character of the vintage. Measured
in Degree-Days above 50F. Region I, Cool Climate, extends to 2500
degree-days in the UC-Davis system.
In general, my observation is that great vintages have in common
enough warmth for full grape maturity, lack of an event that prematurely
ends ripening (like rains or freezes), and a long, moderate ripening
period. (See graph showing "tonnage by harvest date.")
Appropriate crop sizes and absence of disease are necessary, but
should be givens in well managed vineyards when weather cooperates.
As in 2002, when all those requirements are met, wines have size,
ripe flavors, deep colors, good tannin and acid structure and layers
of complexity and spice. The spherical ideal is met, where no one
wine attribute is dominant—where you see a great wine but
can ’t attribute it to any one feature.
The Corral Creek and 3 Vineyard new releases show classic numbers
for a great vintage, registering 14% alcohols, 6 g/L acids and 3.6
pHs. A classic, fully ripe but gradually ripened vintage, with no
rain at the end, 2002 shows the attributes of a cool climate, giving
ripeness, acidity and complexity in an elegant package. Oh, and
did I say “classic”?
Projections leave little doubt, even with maximum uncertainty built
into the model,
that temperatures will continue to climb over the
next century-
-not a question of "if" but a question of "how
much. "
Historical Phenological Data, Based on
Ridgecrest Vineyards
Growing
parameters for the last four vintages at Ridgecrest Vineyards,
plus
what is typical. Gives
a sense of variability, even between very good vintages--all
vintages, even great ones, are not alike.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
TYPICAL |
|
|
TIMING |
|
|
|
|
rule of thumb |
|
|
|
| Budbreak: |
17-Apr |
14-Apr |
25-Apr |
13-Apr |
15-Apr |
|
| bud opens to formal leaves |
|
approx |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Flowering: |
17-Jun |
22-Jun |
23-Jun |
21-Jun |
20-Jun |
|
| barely visible flowers
bloom and hermaphroditically pollinate |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Veraison: |
22-Aug |
26-Aug |
25-Aug |
23-Aug |
20-Aug |
|
| seed hardening and color
change, begins ripening |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Harvest: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Corral Creek |
28-Sep |
5-Oct |
4-Oct |
29-Sep |
1-Oct |
|
| |
Ridgecrest (1st) |
4-Oct |
14-Oct |
10-Oct |
7-Oct |
10-Oct |
|
| |
Ridgecrest (last) |
7-Oct |
20-Oct |
15-Oct |
15-Oct |
17-Oct |
|
|
|
| Growing Season: |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
1971-2000 |
|
| |
Degree Days (>50° F McMinnville,
Year Total) |
2555 |
2281 |
2320 |
2219 |
2100 |
|
| |
cumulative heat during
year |
|
|
|
| |
Degree Days (>50° F McMinnville,
April-October) |
2463 |
2196 |
2195 |
2203 |
2100 |
|
| |
cumulative heat during
growing season only |
|
|
|
| |
Other Years: |
1999 |
1998 |
1997 |
|
1961-1990 |
|
| |
Degree Days (>50° F McMinnville,
April-October) |
1968 |
2352 |
2167 |
|
1970 |
|
| |
computed using hi-lo average |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Harvest Parameters: |
2003 |
2002 |
2001 |
2000 |
TYPICAL |
|
| |
Days from Bloom to Harvest |
109 |
114 |
109 |
108 |
110 |
|
| |
gradual, cool ripening giving finesse |
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
| |
Yield (Tons/Acre, all varieties) |
2.37 |
3.05 |
2.38 |
2.31 |
2.25 |
|
| |
cropload to ripen, as pruned |
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
| |
Cluster Weight (g) |
152 |
149 |
137 |
114 |
125 |
|
| |
measure of plant vigor |
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
| |
Berry Weight (g) |
1.10 |
1.24 |
1.13 |
1.22 |
1.15 |
|
| |
color, extract, juice ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
| |
Brix |
25.2 |
24.2 |
22.9 |
23.7 |
23.5 |
|
| |
sugar, alcohol, ripeness (+ correlation) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
|
| |
pH |
3.46 |
3.40 |
3.29 |
3.33 |
3.25 |
|
| |
K+, acid content, ripeness
(inverse correlation) |
|
|
|
|
 |
|
| |
Titratable Acidity (g/L) |
5.09 |
6.58 |
6.47 |
7.32 |
7.00 |
|
| |
acid, ripeness |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|